Thursday, August 17, 2006

Global Warming and backlash Wager

A montgomeryadvertiser.com�::� letter in the Montgomery Advertiser raises the specter of assuming Global Warming to be true because the consequences are too high to not believing in the phenomena. They equate that to Pascal's wager regarding God belief. Of course, both wagers are fundamentally wrong because there is a great cost to believing GW to be human caused if indeed it is not. In the same way, there is a human cost to believing in God and leading a religious life if indeed there is no God. Therefore, the premise of both GW's and Pascal's wager is false leading to an illogical conclusion. Neither is a sensible bet. Seeking truth and understanding via reason, logic and evidence is the only sensible way to go through life. Any other method is fooling oneself into believing something that might not be so.

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